Factors affecting primary balance in Turkey

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Tarih

2020

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Eskişehir Osmangazi Univ, Fac Education

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

In this paper, it is aimed to examine empirically determinants of primary balance in Turkey. In this direction, it is estimated Turkey's fiscal reaction function by using annual data between 1986-2017 through Ordinary Least Squares method. Our findings show that the primary balance reacts positively to the increase in debt in Turkey. But this reaction decelerates with the increase in the debt stock due to fiscal fatigue. In addition, the primary balance reacts output gap, government expenditure gap, age dependency and trade openness. Consequently, periods of economic recovery, government's fiscal space and youth employment are highly important to determine a good primary balance level. Also, governments in Turkey focus high current account deficit problem to ensure controlling of the primary balance.

Açıklama

WOS:000522788700009

Anahtar Kelimeler

Fiscal Reaction Function, Primary Balance, Debt Stock, Fiscal Fatigue, Turkey, Mali Reaksiyon Fonksiyonu, Birincil Denge, Borç Stoku, Mali Yorgunluk, Türkiye

Kaynak

WoS Q Değeri

N/A

Scopus Q Değeri

Cilt

15

Sayı

2

Künye

Akbayır, F., Yereli, A. B. (2020). Factors affecting primary balance in Turkey. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 15, 2, 565-582.